Thursday, September 25, 2008

This Is A Little Frightening

Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight polling posted an interesting piece yesterday about betting at Intrade. If you aren't familiar with it, Intrade lets you bet on elections. There have been some seriously strange things going on at Intrade of late that are more than likely nothing more than manipulations to make McCain look better (though it's costly) or just an idiot gambler.

But Silver hints at something more sinister and a little frightening. The pattern of bets could indicate someone knows of something very bad that is going to take place and will make a lot of money if it pans out. He calls on the Secret Service and the FBI to investigate a possible threat to Obama's life.

It's twisted, scary, and in this weird world, just a little too close to possible.

1 comment:

Steve said...

And of course those who aren't familiar with Nate's new site need to get there pronto.

I heart Nate, as he shares three of my biggest passions: baseball, cheap Mexican food and politics.